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Feb
24
A simple solution to my trading dilemma. Only hold positions that are
profitable and look promising for an extended run. No matter how
much I may have been up in a position, if it comes back to the break-even point
it must be sold.
Putting an end to bad trading habits is
just like breaking any other bad habit like smoking. I've put many
vices behind me and the method that works best for me is quitting cold turkey.
To implement this concept in trading requires putting a hard fast rule into
effect. That rule is:
Place a stop order at the break even point once
a 2.5% gain has been achieved.
*
Intel downgraded again today but
the stock is up. It's a buy.
**
It was nice to trade
all week without the Cramer risk. He's baaaack - next week.
Feb 23
If
the United Arab Emirates runs some ports, isn't it in their best interest to be
very careful inspecting shipments? Might they be better at uncovering terrorist
threats since they understand the enemy better than we do? If foreigners own America,
doesn't that make us less likely to be the recepient of a foreign attack? We run
their oil programs and own a great deal of their infrastructure. Why are we so
unfriendly to foreign buyers? We are not giving up our right to oversee security.
A phrase from the nuclear non-prolif era: Trust, but verify.
**
I have 7
positions at the moment and looking at an eighth. ALL of my positions are in the
red. I don't want to bail on any of them just yet. I've seen too many of my calls
recently go my way after I got out. I might be in my usual situation - being early
is the same as being wrong. My thoughts on each:
GKIS - longterm hopefully,
chicken market will recover
GMR - also longterm, Oil will rise again and so
will this shipper, bid for 39 on the table
INTC - Oversold, pray for bounce
RMBS
- Overvalued, volitile, really bad trade, hoping short squeeze is over.
EBAY
- expansion plans will fail, competition for paypal.
BAB - Heavy advertising,
lots of competitors in Europe, fuel costs will rise as soon as there's a breeze.
LEXG
- Yesterday's daytrade, now looking for the exit
Will have to post some
bad numbers in Feb. if the above scenarios fail to occur!
**
Sold LEXG for
small loss. Right now I've got 6 losers and most were winners at one time or another.
What's that old saying "Never let a profit turn into a loss"? I was
up 500 on RMBS and now I'm down almost that much. I have a hard time taking a
loss and it's twice as hard since I have to post it to the track record. This
is 99% of the reason that I'm not wealthy. I'm definitely overtrading also.
I'm
trying to get a little more profit out of my trades by holding them longer but
my talent is for short term trades. As my stocks travel further into the red,
I have placed stops on everything except INTC.
I'm hoping today was a short
squeze in RMBS. The latest news about the lawsuits against the company seems to
be negative for the stock. I am willing to hold this short through this rally
because I KNOW it will crash at some point. **
Feb 22
Once
again, Ben
Stein is a voice of reason when it comes to protectionism.
It's
easy to be lulled into a false sense of security when buying a bellweather like
Intel (INTC). I let my guard down on this stock and now it's a problem. The downgrade
today isn't by a major firm. I don't buy the "conspiracy theory" that
they downgrade in order to buy shares cheaper for their clients. There seems to
be support at 20.15, if it holds, I'll stay in.
Feb 21
Feb 20